Turchin Coverage Audit

A checklist that uses Alexey Turchin's AGI failure-mode map to check whether the book's framework silently ignores a whole family of failures, without adopting it as a second ontology.

What decision changes?

Before trusting the book's scope, check each broad failure family (misuse, takeover, indifferent optimization, coercion, paternalism, human replacement) against how — or whether — it enters the boundary/bundle/bearer/correction/successor/selection structure.

Alexey Turchin’s AGI failure-mode map is used here only as a coverage audit, not as a replacement structure. The question it answers is not “what could go wrong” in general, but whether a broad failure taxonomy points to families the framework silently ignores.

Failures enter the book indirectly, through whether they damage a preservation target: boundary, bundle, bearer, correction, successor, adversarial measurement, or selection basin. Takeover and power-seeking route through boundary discovery and correction-channel collapse; bargaining and coercion route through correction-channel pathology; human replacement or simulacra route through bearer persistence.

Ordinary bugs, hardware faults, and late cosmic-stage pathologies stay out of scope unless they alter agency boundaries, correction integrity, or successor stability. The audit’s two uses are to stop the framework from mistaking a narrow formal object for full coverage, and to stop failure taxonomies from becoming the book’s ontology in place of its own positive structure.